Potential health impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic for New Zealand if eradication fails : report to the NZ Ministry of Health / prepared for the Ministry of Health by Prof Nick Wilson, Dr Lucy Telfar Barnard, Dr Amanda Kvalsvig, Prof Michael Baker; COVID-19 Research Group; Health, Environment & Infection Research Unit (HEIRU); Burden of Disease Epidemiology; Equity and Cost-Effectivness Programme (BODE³); University of Otago, Wellington.